10
Nicator
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 77
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | York | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Redcar | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-06 | Doncaster | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |