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Rastnet

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 83

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Boasts a solid all-weather record and can be excused latest turf flop on good to soft going. Now tries first-time blinkers and has a positive jockey booking so could figure.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m Std 12811/1255 @ Wolverhampton 22/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 1m1f104y Std 125 · beat its mark22/12/2025 · OR 75 par3 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 1m4f51y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 81 par6/023OR 814 @ Newcastle 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 1m4f98y Std 135 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m2f219y Sta 135 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 84 par8/044OR 843 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 86 · 1m2f70y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m2f70y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 86 par13/063OR 864 @ Lingfield 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m2f Std 142 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 84 · 1m2f56y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 84 par21/082OR 84projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21York213th11th+2
2026-08-11Lingfield44th4th0
2026-06-13Chester37th6th+1
2026-05-07Chester33rd2nd+1
2026-04-08Kempton42nd2nd0
2026-03-21Newcastle42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1221/0313/0621/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20252nd10/382%89%+0.06
22/12/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
06/02/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09
21/03/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
08/04/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
07/05/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
13/06/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
11/08/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
21/08/202613th28/10%8%+0.08