Tambora

3yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 84

Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C3.8

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-04	Sandown	4	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-06-12	Sandown	4	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-05-15	Newbury	3	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-04-18	Newbury	4	6th	6th	0	4.0
2025-09-20	Newbury	4	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength60%

Delivery trend -15.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/09/2025	5th	28/1	0%	67%	+0.67
18/04/2026	6th	14/1	26%	79%	+0.53
15/05/2026	6th	17/2	55%	50%	-0.05
12/06/2026	4th	4/1	79%	73%	-0.06
04/07/2026	1st	7/2	82%	100%	+0.18