2

Beelzebub

6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55

Kempton · Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Windsor in June on first run for new trainer, emphatically ending a long losing run. Best excused latest run after awkward start and he's likely still one to be positive about given the yard he's not long been with. Tongue strap reapplied and boasts top jockey booking.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 21/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 63 · 6f Std 133 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 63 par21/026OR 636 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 60 · 6f Sta 131 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Southwell 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 58 · 6f16y Std 133 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 58 par14/036OR 586 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 58 · 6f16y Std 128 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Southwell 15/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 58 · 7f14y Std 133 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 58 par15/046OR 586 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 51 · 6f12y GF 131 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 51 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 51 par29/066OR 516 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 57 · 6f12y GF 134 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Kempton 14/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 56 · 6f Sta 131 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 56 par14/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Kempton69th9th0
2026-08-13Windsor66th6th0
2026-06-29Ffos Las62nd2nd0
2026-06-22Windsor61st1st0
2026-04-15Southwell610th10th0
2026-04-05Southwell67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/025/0429/0614/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20266th11/486%38%-0.48
02/03/20264th17/255%70%+0.15
14/03/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
05/04/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
15/04/202610th9/153%18%-0.34
22/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
29/06/20262nd8/1597%80%-0.17
13/08/20266th9/488%50%-0.38
14/09/20269th7/163%27%-0.36