2

Beelzebub
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55
Kempton · Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 14/09/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |