1
Big Bard
8yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55
Kempton · Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Kempton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Kempton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 02/03/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |