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4

Kyoto

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 53

Kempton · Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed promise when fifth of 11 at Southwell in May, staying on well, but not kicked on since and often starts awkwardly.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 14/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS14/1055 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/1254 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f1y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS20/0446 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 58 · 6f16y Std 129 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 58 par21/056OR 586 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 58 · 6f3y Sft 129 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 58 par10/066OR 586 @ Lingfield 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 56 · 6f1y Std 133 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 56 par12/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Lingfield68th8th0
2026-06-10Yarmouth65th5th0
2026-05-21Southwell65th5th0
2026-04-20Lingfield44th2nd+2
2025-12-03Lingfield53rd2nd+1
2025-10-14Lingfield52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/103/1220/0421/0510/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/10/20252nd11/1094%75%-0.19
03/12/20253rd28/10%50%+0.50
20/04/20264th28/10%50%+0.50
21/05/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
10/06/20265th6/168%50%-0.18
12/09/20268th9/276%22%-0.54