12
Ten Club
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 49
Kempton · Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Chepstow | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Bath | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 90% | +0.32 |
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 25/11/2025 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 9% | -0.59 |
| 06/12/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/12/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |