13

Harley Gema
9yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Grand Prix Anjou-maine - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/11/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.23 |
| 08/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |