13

Harley Gema

9yo Mare · 0-0

Laval · Grand Prix Anjou-maine - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Feurs 15/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/10C?C0 @ Laval 01/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 19/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 019/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 08/01C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f219y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 027/07C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 01 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f219y Std 022/081projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Cagnes-sur-Mer16th6th0
2026-08-10Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2026-07-27Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2026-04-18Enghien10
2026-03-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2026-01-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1030/1127/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength69%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/202510th14/126%40%+0.14
01/11/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
19/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
30/11/202513th9/153%29%-0.23
08/01/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
08/03/20262nd15/261%92%+0.31
27/07/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
10/08/20264th7/282%73%-0.09
22/08/20266th25/10%50%+0.50