14
Ideal Ligneries
8yo Horse · 0-0
Laval · Grand Prix Anjou-maine - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 22/03/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |