7
L'as Desbois
5yo Colt · 0-0
Laval · Grand Prix Anjou-maine - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/12/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 05/08/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |