1

Light My Fire

5yo Colt · 0-0

Laval · Grand Prix Anjou-maine - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 07/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 07/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 19/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/07C?C0 @ Enghien 02/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 16/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 016/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/11C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-27Cholet?0
2025-11-22Vincennes?7th7th0
2025-11-06Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-09-26Vincennes?4th4th0
2025-09-13Vincennes?0
2025-08-30Vincennes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/062/0826/0922/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength51%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/202512th12/137%8%-0.29
22/06/20255th14/126%50%+0.24
19/07/20256th18/15%44%+0.39
02/08/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
16/08/20259th28/10%33%+0.33
30/08/20257th33/10%40%+0.40
26/09/20254th40/10%57%+0.57
06/11/202511th20/10%17%+0.17
22/11/20257th25/10%33%+0.33