1

Light My Fire
5yo Colt · 0-0
Laval · Grand Prix Anjou-maine - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-22 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-30 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 22/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/08/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 06/11/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |