16

Naxos Dibah
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Patapain - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-09 | Amiens | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +16.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |