18
Nestina
3yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Patapain - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |