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15

Nocturne De Busset

3yo Filly · 0-0

Laval · Prix Patapain - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Caen 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12830/054C0 @ Enghien 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 12823/06C?C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f13y Std 12819/08C?C0 @ Angers 09/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f12y Std 09/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12815/09C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-09-09Angers?12th12th0
2026-08-19Laval?5th5th0
2026-06-23Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-05-30Caen41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0523/0619/089/0915/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
23/06/20263rd9/488%78%-0.10
19/08/20265th6/168%33%-0.35
09/09/202612th80/10%15%+0.15
15/09/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35