12
Lion Des Isles
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Laval · Prix Tiego D'etang - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 21/12/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 92% | -0.00 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |