5
Mister Lion
5yo Colt · 9-8
Laval · Prix Tiego D'etang - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 22/09/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |