16
Malium
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Bleublanc - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |