12
Melchior James
4yo Colt · 0-0
Laval · Prix Bleublanc - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#15
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 81% | +0.76 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |