14

Melia Barbes
4yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Bleublanc - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Caen | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.09 |
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 05/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/02/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 85% | -0.11 |