11
Mostra De Chanlecy
4yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Bleublanc - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |