17
My Lady Castelle
4yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Bleublanc - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 27/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.52 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |