12
Joyeux Nonna
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Viking De Val - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 94% | +0.06 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |