12

La Mitidja
5yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Pontchateau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 29/04/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 13/01/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 20/02/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 31/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |