5
Lorezza Era
5yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 01/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 87% | +0.05 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |