4
Hello De Ligny
9yo Gelding · 9-4
Laval · Prix Alpha Saltor - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-07-03 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-06-09 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-05-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2023-05-31 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2023-05-09 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength11%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2022 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 03/12/2022 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/01/2023 | 3rd | 8/15 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 13/04/2023 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 64% | -0.27 |
| 09/05/2023 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 31/05/2023 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/05/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 09/06/2024 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 03/07/2024 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |