8

Jazzy Thourjan

7yo Gelding · 10-3

Laval · Prix Alpha Saltor - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 26/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14326/02C?C0 @ Enghien 10/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 143C0 @ Argentan 13/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14313/04C?C0 @ Laval 23/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1325 @ Vincennes 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 14315/0554 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Caen 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14315/06C?C0 @ Enghien 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 1434 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 14310/074projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cabourg45th5th0
2026-07-01Enghien?5th5th0
2026-06-15Caen?2nd2nd0
2026-06-05Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-05-23Enghien40
2026-05-15Vincennes53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0223/0415/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/02/20265th10/147%69%+0.22
10/03/202610th20/10%25%+0.25
13/04/20262nd11/142%92%+0.50
23/04/20267th11/271%65%-0.06
15/05/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36
05/06/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04
15/06/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84
01/07/20265th12/137%56%+0.19
10/07/20265th20/10%56%+0.56