6
Junior Berdiere
7yo Gelding · 10-1
Laval · Prix Alpha Saltor - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 10/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 20/08/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |