9

Ker Poulgwen
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gala Tejy - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/11/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 29/01/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 05/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/03/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/04/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |