7

Happy Face

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Province Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chateaubriant 03/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 03/02C?C0 @ Laval 27/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Pontchateau 07/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 07/03C?4 @ Laval 28/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 10/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 010/044C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f173y Std 03 @ Enghien 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/063C0 @ Vincennes 21/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 01/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Craon?0
2026-08-01Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-06-21Vincennes?8th8th0
2026-06-13Enghien36th6th0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?11th11th0
2026-04-10Vincennes46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0228/0313/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20254th13/266%82%+0.17
27/02/20252nd10/382%92%+0.10
07/03/20252nd3/184%90%+0.06
28/03/202610th150/10%47%+0.47
10/04/20266th33/10%64%+0.64
22/04/202611th28/10%33%+0.33
13/06/20266th25/10%67%+0.67
21/06/20268th50/10%56%+0.56
01/08/20263rd25/10%85%+0.85