11
Hilton Du Houlet
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Province Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-03 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Mauquenchy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 15/05/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 10/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |