4
Historic Day
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Province Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-01 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 02/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 20/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 15/01/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 94% | +0.67 |