6
If I Tell You
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Province Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | La Capelle | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Montier-En-Der | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/01/2026 | 12th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.47 |
| 27/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 31/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 02/08/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 23/08/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 21/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |