5
Iron D'espoir
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Province Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hyeres | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 16/01/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 23/04/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |