2
Japarov Lire
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix Province Courses - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Montier-En-Der | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 29/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |