12
Iquita Vili
8yo Mare · 10-3
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret Mormal - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Nantes | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 92% | +0.04 |
| 15/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 24/12/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 12/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 53% | -0.23 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |