6
Justin De Valmont
7yo Gelding · 9-10
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret Mormal - Monte · 1m 6f 9y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 7 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-09 | Reims | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-24 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2023 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/06/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 09/07/2024 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 53% | +0.48 |
| 01/11/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 24/03/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 09/04/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |