5
L'arc
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret De Phalempin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C11.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 18 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/12/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 30/01/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 04/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |
| 10/09/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |