11
Lamiral D'erable
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret De Phalempin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2024 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 04/03/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 08/07/2025 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 19/08/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/9 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |