16
Leader De Cerisy
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret De Phalempin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#15
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-12 | Hyeres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-19 | Hyeres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-05 | Hyeres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 11/07/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 30/07/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |