15

Leonardo Turgot
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret De Phalempin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/06/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 79% | +0.73 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |