4
Lily Rose Mystic
5yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret De Phalempin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-04 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-12-25 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 27/05/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/12/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/12/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/01/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |