8
Little Dragon
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix De La Foret De Phalempin - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-24 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-13 | Enghien | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |
| 20/11/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |