12

Mara Best

4yo Filly · 0-0

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 13/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 013/02C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 07/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/03C?C0 @ La Capelle 03/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 01/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 01/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03/01C?2 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 05/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-05-15Marseille-borely20
2026-05-02Vincennes27th7th0
2026-01-25Vincennes10
2026-01-03Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-12-14Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/023/093/015/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20253rd3/184%75%-0.09
07/03/20253rd7/282%80%-0.02
22/03/20253rd25/10%78%+0.78
03/09/20257th22/10%45%+0.45
01/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
14/12/20255th25/10%50%+0.50
03/01/20262nd33/10%88%+0.88
02/05/20267th20/10%50%+0.50
05/09/20266th66/10%44%+0.44