4
Marisa Du Chatelet
4yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#14
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | La Capelle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 25/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 10/03/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |