9

Maverick Ellis

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#2

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 08/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/11C?4 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/064C0 @ Enghien 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 01/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Enghien?4th4th0
2026-06-12Vincennes45th5th0
2026-05-27Hyeres?0
2025-11-08Le Croise-Laroche?1st1st0
2025-10-19Reims?0
2025-09-03La Capelle?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1112/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +10.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
12/06/20265th40/10%50%+0.50
01/08/20264th33/10%63%+0.63