8
Mercedes Du Loisir
4yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |