16
Mhum Flyng
4yo Colt · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#3
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 1.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 14/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |