13

Mon Plaisir

4yo Colt · 0-0

Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 27/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/01C?3 @ Vincennes 28/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03 @ Vincennes 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 020/0334 @ Vincennes 03/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/043C0 @ Vincennes 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/05C?2 @ Lisieux 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 03 @ Vincennes 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 04/093projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Argentan?0
2026-09-04Vincennes37th7th0
2026-08-29Lisieux29th9th0
2026-06-06Vincennes10
2026-05-29Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-06Vincennes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/013/0429/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/01/20269th22/10%27%+0.27
28/02/20265th28/10%69%+0.69
20/03/20263rd11/142%80%+0.38
03/04/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
11/04/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
06/05/20264th18/15%77%+0.72
29/05/20262nd14/126%93%+0.67
29/08/20269th25/10%33%+0.33
04/09/20267th33/10%33%+0.33