5
Murphy Du Poncelet
4yo Colt · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength47%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |