11
Muscade Leman
4yo Filly · 0-0
Le Croise-Laroche · Prix D'automne - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 14/08/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 28/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 18/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |